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According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.Five bodies were found in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in Guanajuato, Mexico. On December 12, local time, the Public Security Office of Salvatierra, Guanajuato, a central Mexican province, said that the police found five bodies in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in this area. It is reported that five bodies were packed in plastic bags and discarded in a pickup truck. The Office of the Attorney General of Guanajuato will investigate the case.Shenzhen recently released four overcharge standards. According to the news of "Shenzhen Release", yesterday, the reporter learned from the Shenzhen Municipal Market Supervision Administration that Shenzhen has made further progress in promoting the construction of electric vehicle charging facilities, and recently took the lead in releasing four overcharge standards. At present, Shenzhen has issued six leading local standards for overcharging, including the grading evaluation standard for decentralized charging facilities for electric vehicles, grading evaluation standard for centralized charging stations for electric vehicles, long-term failure judgment standard for charging equipment for electric vehicles and management standard for construction of charging facilities for electric vehicles in residential quarters. As of December 5, Shenzhen has guided the construction of 913 overcharging stations, added 121,000 charging facilities and upgraded 3,047 old piles. The official implementation of the four latest overcharge standards issued by Shenzhen indicates that Shenzhen has taken another solid step on the road of building an "overcharged city".

Macao held a public sacrifice ceremony to mourn the victims of the Nanjing Massacre, and December 13th, 2024 was the 11th national public sacrifice day for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre. On the morning of the same day, the Macao SAR Government held a ceremony at the Institute of Environmental Protection and Security Forces, deeply mourning the victims of the Nanjing Massacre and all the compatriots killed by the Japanese aggressors. (CCTV)Five bodies were found in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in Guanajuato, Mexico. On December 12, local time, the Public Security Office of Salvatierra, Guanajuato, a central Mexican province, said that the police found five bodies in a pickup truck on the intercity highway in this area. It is reported that five bodies were packed in plastic bags and discarded in a pickup truck. The Office of the Attorney General of Guanajuato will investigate the case.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

Hong Kong stock black sesame intelligence once rose more than 20%. The company was recently included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, and its interim net profit turned a profit year-on-year.CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.According to sources, Trump will meet with the widow of former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Sunday.